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Meteorological synopsis High risk convective outlook issued by the Storm Prediction center at 13:00 UTC on May 6 May 6. Starting April 30, the Storm Prediction Center noted that certain models, including the ECMWF, forecasted a multi-day period of high instability and supportive wind shear across the Southern and Central Plains, and by May 1, a 15% risk was added across Nebraska, Kansas ...
They also began increasing the range of their forecast from 15 days to 25 days, 45 days, and (by 2016) to 90 days. These hyper-extended forecasts have been compared to actual results several times and shown to be misleading, inaccurate, and sometimes less accurate than simple predictions based on National Weather Service averages over a 30-year ...
The GFS model is a FV3 model with an approximate horizontal resolution of 13 km for the days 0-16 days. In the vertical, the model is divided into 127 layers and extends to the mesopause (roughly ~80 km), and temporally, it produces forecast output every hour for the first 120 hours, [1] three hourly through day 10, and 12 hourly through day 16.
After waves of cool weather by way of Pacific storms held temperatures back in March to early April, the first widespread and long-lasting surge of heat will be felt over the interior southwestern ...
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Richmond, Virginia, managed to reach 90 on April 15. Much of the Northeast experienced its warmest days on April 15 and 16. Temperatures are expected to blow away the season-high mark of 82 in New ...
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