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Confusingly, sometimes when people refer to wMAPE they are talking about a different model in which the numerator and denominator of the wMAPE formula above are weighted again by another set of custom weights .
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Forecast errors can be evaluated using a variety of methods namely mean percentage error, ... (+) denotes the actual value of the h-step observation and ...
Percentage error; Mean absolute percentage error; Mean squared error; Mean squared prediction error; Minimum mean-square error; Squared deviations; Peak signal-to-noise ratio; Root mean square deviation; Errors and residuals in statistics; References. Khan, Aman U.; Hildreth, W. Bartley (2003). Case studies in public budgeting and financial ...
In contrast to the mean absolute percentage error, SMAPE has both a lower bound and an upper bound. Indeed, the formula above provides a result between 0% and 200%. Indeed, the formula above provides a result between 0% and 200%.
For a step input, the percentage overshoot (PO) is the maximum value minus the step value divided by the step value. In the case of the unit step, the overshoot is just the maximum value of the step response minus one. Also see the definition of overshoot in an electronics context.
Propagation of uncertainty. In statistics, propagation of uncertainty (or propagation of error) is the effect of variables ' uncertainties (or errors, more specifically random errors) on the uncertainty of a function based on them. When the variables are the values of experimental measurements they have uncertainties due to measurement ...
Prediction interval. In statistical inference, specifically predictive inference, a prediction interval is an estimate of an interval in which a future observation will fall, with a certain probability, given what has already been observed. Prediction intervals are often used in regression analysis . A simple example is given by a six-sided die ...